Rr. Sokal et al., Cancer incidences in Europe related to mortalities, and ethnohistoric, genetic, and geographic distances, P NAS US, 97(11), 2000, pp. 6067-6072
Citations number
28
Categorie Soggetti
Multidisciplinary
Journal title
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
We have previously shown that geographic differences in cancer mortalities
in Europe are related to tin order of importance): geographic distances (re
flecting environmental differences), ethnohistoric distances (encompassing
cultural and genetic attributes), and genetic distances of the populations
in the areas studied. In this study, we analyzed the relations of the same
three factors to European incidences of 45 male and 47 female cancers. Diff
erences in cancer incidences are correlated moderately, first with geograph
ic distances, and then with genetic distances, but not at all with ethnohis
toric distances. Comparing these findings to the earlier ones for cancer mo
rtalities, we note the reversal in the importance of ethnohistory and genet
ics, and the generally lower correlations of incidence differences with the
three putatively causal distance matrices. A path diagram combining both s
tudies demonstrates the lack of cultural carcinogenic effects, but suggests
cultural influences on procedures such as the registration of deaths in di
fferent political entities. Additionally, the relatively large correlation
between ethnohistoric distances and mortality differences is caused by comm
on factors behind the correlation of ethnohistoric and geographic distances
. Geographic proximity results in similar ethnohistories. The direct effect
s of genetic distances are negligible and only their common effects with ge
ographic distances play a role, accounting for the weak to negligible influ
ence of genetics on incidence and mortality differences. Apparently, the ge
netic systems available to us do not substantially affect cancer incidence
or mortality. We present indirect evidence that international differences i
n the quality of cancer rate data are greater in mortalities than in incide
nces.