Globally, tropical deforestation releases 20 to 30% of anthropogenic green-
house gases. Conserving forests could reduce emissions, but the cost-effect
iveness of this mechanism for mitigation depends on the associated opportun
ity costs. We estimated these costs from local, national, and global perspe
ctives using a case study from Madagascar, Conservation generated significa
nt benefits over logging and agriculture Locally and globally. Nationally,
however, financial benefits from industrial logging were Larger than conser
vation benefits. Such differing economic signals across scales may exacerba
te tropical deforestation. The Kyoto Protocol could potentially overcome th
is obstacle to conservation by creating markers for protection of tropical
forests to mitigate climate change.