From 1992 to 1997, I monitored population size and productivity of Ospreys
(Pandion haliaetus) nesting along 80 km of coast on the eastern side of the
Gulf of California, Mexico. During the study period, the number of nesting
pairs increased by an estimated 5-14%. The percentage of successful pairs
varied significantly among years, ranging from 50%. In three of the six yea
rs, the productivity of breeding pairs exceeded the estimated level necessa
ry to maintain Osprey population size in at least parts of the species' ran
ge. However, three of the last four years were characterized by low reprodu
ctive success and by a higher proportion of late clutches. In 1997, the mos
t unproductive of the six years, 38 of 40 (95%) nesting pairs failed to pro
duce any fledgling. That same year; however, the observed productivity of 1
0 pairs on two nearby islands was 15 times higher than on the mainland. In
1994, 1995, and 1996, successful pairs were significantly clumped, indicati
ng that in the study area, nesting success was strongly influenced by local
factors. The results of this study warrant further research to identify th
e source(s) of annual and spatial differences in nesting success.