Multifractality in time series

Authors
Citation
E. Canessa, Multifractality in time series, J PHYS A, 33(19), 2000, pp. 3637-3651
Citations number
56
Categorie Soggetti
Physics
Journal title
JOURNAL OF PHYSICS A-MATHEMATICAL AND GENERAL
ISSN journal
03054470 → ACNP
Volume
33
Issue
19
Year of publication
2000
Pages
3637 - 3651
Database
ISI
SICI code
0305-4470(20000519)33:19<3637:MITS>2.0.ZU;2-U
Abstract
We apply the concepts of multifractal physics to financial time series in o rder to characterize the onset of crash for the Standard & Poor 500 (S&P500 ) stock index x(t). It is found that within the framework of multifractalit y, the 'analogous' specific heat of the S&P500 discrete price index display s a shoulder to the right of the main peak for low time-lag values. For dec reasing T, the presence of the shoulder is a consequence of the peaked, tem poral x(t+T) - x(t) fluctuations in this regime. For large time lags (T > 8 0), we have found that C-q displays typical features of a classical phase t ransition at a critical point. An example of such dynamic phase transition in a simple economic model system, based on a mapping with multifractality phenomena in random multiplicative processes, is also presented by applying former results obtained with a continuous probability theory for describin g scaling measures.