We develop a new climate-impact model, the Global Impact Model (GIM), which
combines future scenarios, detailed spatial simulations by general circula
tion models (GCMs), sectoral features, climate-response functions, and adap
tation to generate country-specific impacts by market sector. Estimates are
made for three future scenarios, two GCMs, and two climate-response functi
ons - a reduced-form model and a cross-sectional model. Combining empirical
ly based response functions, sectoral data by country, and careful climate
forecasts gives analysts a more powerful tool for estimating market impacts
. GIM predicts that country specific results vary, implying that research i
n this area is likely to be policy-relevant.