In order to reveal the underlying mesoscopic mechanism governing the experi
mentally observed failure in solids subjected to impact loading, this paper
presents a model of statistical microdamage evolution to macroscopic failu
re, in particular to spallation. Based on statistical microdamage mechanics
and experimental measurement of nucleation and growth of microcracks in an
Al alloy subjected to plate impact loading, the evolution law of damage an
d the dynamical function of damage are obtained. Then, a lower bound to dam
age localization can be derived. It is found that the damage evolution beyo
nd the threshold of damage localization is extremely fast. So, damage local
ization can serve as a precursor to failure. This is supported by experimen
tal observations. On the other hand, the prediction of failure becomes more
accurate, when the dynamic function of damage is fitted with longer experi
mental observations. We also looked at the failure in creep with the same i
dea. Still, damage localization is a nice precursor to failure in creep rup
ture. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.