BACKGROUND: In recent years, ambulatory surgery has received much atte
ntion in Catalonia, Spain, because of its potential to reduce unnecess
ary bed utilization. To estimate the number of potentially ambulatory
procedures could be useful for planning and contracting health care se
rvices and could give an idea of its potential impact in the existing
health care system. METHODS: The number of hospital discharges in Cata
lonia (1993) for 34 groups of procedures suitable for ambulatory surge
ry were obtained from the computerised uniform hospital discharge syst
em. The percentage of procedures that could be carried out as day case
s published in three delphi studies were applied to the number of hosp
ital discharges to estimate a target number of ambulatory procedures.
The number of hospital bed days that could be saved was calculated mul
tiplying the estimated number of ambulatory procedures by the actual a
verage length to stay for each procedure. Finally, Delphi substitution
percentages were compared to those reported by a Catalan hospital wit
h an ambulatory surgery unit. RESULTS: The estimated annual number of
ambulatory procedures ranges from 37,453 to 44,752 (6.5 to 7.7% of the
annual hospital discharges) and the estimated hospital day from 159,
773 to 193,709 (3.3 to 4.0% of all hospital bed days). Among the proce
dures with the highest potential in ambulatory surgery there are: cata
ract surgery, inguinal hernia repair, uterine dilatation and curettage
, and arthroscope. Most of the reported hospital substitution indexes
are positioned between the highest and the lowest delphi indexes. CONC
LUSIONS: A significant percentage of the procedures currently carried
out on an inatient basis could be performed in ambulatory arrangements
. The hospital reported percentages of substitution suggest the feasib
ility of achieving the estimated number of ambulatory procedures. In t
he Catalan public health sector, ambulatory surgery has shown an incre
asing trend towards the estimated number of ambulatory procedures.