Can population growth rates vary with the spatial scale at which they are measured?

Citation
H. Steen et D. Haydon, Can population growth rates vary with the spatial scale at which they are measured?, J ANIM ECOL, 69(4), 2000, pp. 659-671
Citations number
30
Categorie Soggetti
Animal Sciences
Journal title
JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY
ISSN journal
00218790 → ACNP
Volume
69
Issue
4
Year of publication
2000
Pages
659 - 671
Database
ISI
SICI code
0021-8790(200007)69:4<659:CPGRVW>2.0.ZU;2-E
Abstract
1. The ratio of successive population censuses is often assumed to reflect population growth rates. We identify three simple potential sources of bias in the estimation of population growth rates that relate to either the tot al number of censused individuals or the spatial areas over which censuses are conducted. 2. The commonly used method of adding a constant to time series data to avo id problems caused by division by zero can lead to underestimation of growt h rates at low densities in increasing populations. 3. Variances associated with density estimates can lead to positive bias in estimation of growth rates when populations are distributed in ephemeral p atches. The spatial variance and spatio-temporal covariance in bank vole ce nsus data suggest that this bias could be severe when small trapping grids are used. Use of logged estimators of growth rate avoids this problem. 4. Using census data from non-randomly placed trapping grids that are small er than twice the maximum range of natal dispersal to estimate population g rowth rates can lead to negatively biased estimates, particularly at low po pulation densities. 5. These three sources of bias are evaluated as explanations for scale-depe ndent changes in the estimates of growth rates identified in populations of snowshoe hare (Lepus americanus), bank voles (Clethrionomys glareolus) and lemmings (Lemmus lemmus).