ECONOMIC-DEVELOPMENT, POVERTY REDUCTION AND CARBON EMISSIONS IN INDIA

This paper analyses carbon dioxide (GO,) emissions from energy consump tion using an input-output (I-O) model, for different sectors of the I ndian economy in 1990. Alternative scenarios are developed for 2005, T he I-O model considers structural changes in aggregate consumption beh aviour and sectoral composition of output between 1990 and 2005. Alter native energy efficiency programmes are compared for their potential C O2 reduction in 2005. Under ambitious poverty reduction targets, the a nnual growth rate of CO2 emissions increases from 3.8% to 5.9%. Howeve r, energy efficiency programmes could reduce the average annual growth rate of CO2 emissions back to 4.9%. It is also seen that reducing CO2 through oil conservation is a preferred policy for India compared wit h saving coal.