We present a hierarchical method to predict protein tertiary structure mode
ls from sequence. We start with complete enumeration of conformations using
a simple tetrahedral lattice model. We then build conformations with incre
asing detail, and at each step select a subset of conformations using empir
ical energy functions with increasing complexity. After enumeration on latt
ice, we select a subset of low energy conformations using a statistical res
idue-residue contact energy function, and generate all-atom models using pr
edicted secondary structure. A combined knowledge-based atomic level energy
function is then used to select subsets of the all-atom models. The final
predictions are generated using a consensus distance geometry procedure. We
test the feasibility of the procedure on a set of 12 small proteins coveri
ng a wide range of protein topologies. A rigorous double-blind test of our
method was made under the auspices of the CASPS experiment, where we did ab
initio structure predictions for 12 proteins using this approach. The perf
ormance of our methodology at CASPS is reasonably good and completely consi
stent with our initial tests. (C) 2000 Academic Press.