Estimates of the extent of hepatic fibrosis and the rate of fibrosis progre
ssion represent important surrogate end points for evaluation of the vulner
ability of an individual patient and for assessment of the impact of treatm
ent on natural history in chronic hepatitis C. Using the median fibrosis pr
ogression rate, the median expected time to cirrhosis in untreated patients
is around 30 years. However one third of patients have an expected median
time to cirrhosis of less than 20 years and one third will only progress to
cirrhosis in more than 50 years, if ever. Factors independently associated
with fibrosis progression are duration of infection, age, male gender; con
sumption of alcohol human immunodeficiency virus co-infection, and low CD4
count, Evaluation of fibrosis progression is useful to decide treatment. Am
ong patients with sustained viral response, fibrosis regresses. Evaluation
of fibrosis progression has permitted validation of the concept of suppress
ive therapy. Among patients without viral clearance, interferon alone or in
combination wish ribavirin significantly reduces fibrosis progression rate
in comparison with progression before treatment and to control groups. The
re is a major need for noninvasive markers of liver fibrosis, None are clea
rly useful today for the diagnosis of early stages of fibrosis.