Herd behavior and aggregate fluctuations in financial markets

Citation
R. Cont et Jp. Bouchaud, Herd behavior and aggregate fluctuations in financial markets, MACROECON D, 4(2), 2000, pp. 170-196
Citations number
50
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS
ISSN journal
13651005 → ACNP
Volume
4
Issue
2
Year of publication
2000
Pages
170 - 196
Database
ISI
SICI code
1365-1005(200006)4:2<170:HBAAFI>2.0.ZU;2-8
Abstract
We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication st ructure between agents generically gives rise to heavy tails in the distrib ution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated p ower law, similar to distributions observed in recent empirical studies of high-frequency market data. Our model provides a link between two well-know n market phenomena: the heavy tails observed in the distribution of stock m arket returns on one hand and herding behavior in financial markets on the other hand. In particular, our study suggests a relation between the excess kurtosis observed in asset returns, the market order how and the tendency of market participants to imitate each ether.