Objective: To investigate the predictive value of quality of life on change
s in disability measured by the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). Ba
ckground: There are few good prognostic factors for disease development in
MS. Quality of life and self-rated health have been shown to be highly pred
ictive of morbidity and disease development in heart disease and cancer. Me
thods: Data on quality of life (SF-36 Health Survey) were ascertained at ba
seline for 97 relapsing-remitting patients with MS participating in a short
-term clinical trial on interferon alpha-2a. These scores were correlated w
ith change in EDSS scores 1 year later, 6 months after treatment ended. Res
ults: Low scores on the SF-36 mental health scale were correlated with incr
eased (worsened) EDSS scores 1 year later (r = -0.29, p = 0.006). The resul
ts were not altered by adjusting for disease activity at baseline, which wa
s measured by the number gadolinium-enhanced MRI lesions, relapse rate for
the preceding 2 years, and baseline EDSS score. Similar results were found
for self-rated health (according to the first question of the SF-36). Concl
usions: These findings reinforce the importance of incorporating the patien
ts' evaluation of their quality of life during treatment. Further, assessin
g such measures is important in evaluating effects in treatment trials in M
S.