Ke. Smoyer et al., The impacts of weather and pollution on human mortality in Birmingham, Alabama and Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, INT J CLIM, 20(8), 2000, pp. 881-897
Past studies have examined how both extreme weather and atmospheric polluta
nts influence human mortality. However, the differential and/or synergistic
impacts of weather and pollution on mortality are poorly understood. This
relationship is particularly notable in summer, when both extreme weather a
nd high pollution episodes are frequent. The goal of this study is to descr
ibe the relationship between atmospheric conditions las characterized by we
ather and air pollution) and mortality in the summer season for Birmingham,
Alabama and Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. To assess the health impacts of bo
th weather and pollution (ozone and total suspended particulates, or TSP),
we used a synoptic, or air mass-based, approach to take into account the en
tire weather situation, rather than individual weather elements. This metho
d was used to identify 'offensive' air masses, which are associated with el
evated mortality, and then to investigate which individual or combination o
f atmospheric conditions poses the greatest threat to human health in terms
of acute (daily) mortality.
In both cities, offensive weather events have a greater impact on acute mor
tality than high concentrations of TSP or ozone. The highest mortality leve
ls occur when the hottest, but not the most polluted, air mass is present i
n each city. In philadelphia, neither TSP nor ozone appear to contribute an
'add on' effect to weather-related mortality. Under non-offensive weather
situations, pollution concentrations are associated with increased mortalit
y in Philadelphia. Yet, regardless of pollution concentration, mortality le
vels are much lower for these air masses than for offensive events. Polluti
on appears to be more important for mortality in Birmingham. Although Birmi
ngham's high-mortality (offensive) air mass is not the most polluted, offen
sive air mass days with high pollution concentrations nonetheless exhibit h
igher mean mortality than offensive air mass days with low pollution concen
trations. Also different from Philadelphia is a lack of a relationship in B
irmingham between pollution levels and mortality on non-offensive air mass
days. The relationship between summer weather and mortality is strong in bo
th cities, while the role of pollution is less clear. This research undersc
ores the imperative need for the development of a weather/health watch-warn
ing system to alert the public that an offensive synoptic situation is immi
nent. Copyright (C) 2000 Royal Meteorological Society.