Background Evidence for a causal relationship between presence of Helicobac
ter pylori (H. pylori) in gastric mucosa and development of peptic disease
is based largely on intervention studies in which eradication of H. pylori
led to healing of the lesion. The aim of this study was to assess the impor
tance of H. pylori seropositivity for subsequent development of peptic dise
ase in a prospective study design in young Israelis.
Methods A nested case-control serum bank study based on a systematic sample
of male and female inductees to the Israel Defense Force. Twenty-nine case
s of duodenal ulcer or duodenitis of moderate or higher severity, diagnosed
between 1986 and 1995, were individually matched for age, sex, ethnicity,
education and year of induction, with five healthy controls each. Presence
of anti-H. pylori antibodies in the frozen stored sera was determined by EL
ISA.
Results The geometric mean titre of anti-H. pylori antibodies at baseline w
as significantly higher in cases (18.3 U/ml) than controls (6.9 U/ml P = 0.
009). The matched odds ratio for peptic ulcer disease by seropositivity was
3.8 (95% CI : 1.4-10.2). A stronger association was evident for subjects d
iagnosed greater than or equal to 2 years after induction than those diagno
sed earlier. The population attributable fraction was 56.6% (95% CI : 15.7-
81.1).
Conclusions Pre-existing infection with H. pylori, as determined by seropos
itivity, is an important determinant of development of duodenal ulcer or du
odenitis in young Israelis, supporting the generalizability of an apparent
causal association to diverse populations.