Based on explicit present value calculations, the paper criticizes the view
that the PAYGO system wastes economic resources. In present value terms, t
here is nothing to be gained from a transition to a funded system even thou
gh the latter offers a permanently higher rate of return. The sum of the im
plicit and explicit tax burdens that result from the need to respect the ex
isting pension claims is the same under all systems and transition strategi
es. Nevertheless a partial transition to a funded system may be a way to ov
ercome the current demographic crisis because it replaces missing human cap
ital with real capital and helps smooth tax and child rearing costs across
the generations.