The dependence of the normalized radar cross section of the sea on wind var
iability within the resolution cell is examined by considering probability
distributions of cross sections and wind vectors. If a threshold wind speed
exists below which backscatter is negligible for steady winds, variability
of the wind over the resolution cell is shown to cause significant backsca
tter at mean wind speeds below the threshold. In fact, if the variability i
s sufficiently high, cross sections become essentially constant at very low
wind speeds. The viability of this model is tested by comparing its predic
tions based on the NASA scatterometer 2 (NSCAT2) model function with probab
ility distributions obtained from NSCAT cross sections that are collocated
with buoy measurements. Both the overall probability distribution of cross
sections and the probability of negative cross sections obtained from the N
SCAT data are shown to be in good agreement with the predictions. A means o
f improving the accuracy of low wind speed scatterometer measurements is su
ggested when wind variability is not too high.