We sought to demonstrate a correlation between low-back pain (LBP) and the
plain radiographic findings of the lumbar spine in the general population b
ased on an analysis of 838 persons, 387 of whom presented with complaints o
f low-back pain. The incidence of intervertebral narrowing and irregular os
sification of the vertebral end-plate image increased consistently with age
and was higher in the presence of LBP in any age or gender group. Multireg
ression analysis was performed with the imaging factors as multivariates. A
s a result, multiregression equations with irregular ossification of the ve
rtebral end-plate image, intervertebral narrowing, spondylolisthesis and ab
normal lumbar lordotic angle combined as variates showed the highest signif
icance as predictors of a relationship with LBP. The discrimination analysi
s was performed using the linear discriminant function, resulting in a true
discrimination rate of 65%. Plain radiography of the lumbar spine is thus
significant as it provides information which can be evaluated as meaningful
findings in the investigation of LBP. In addition, while the significance
can be increased by considering multiple factors, it is important to unders
tand the limits of the accuracy of this prediction.