An input-output analysis of the impact of mining on the South African economy

We use input-output techniques to analyse the impacts of gold, coal, and ot her mining activities upon the South African economy between 1971 and 1993. Our results suggest that the premise upon which the South African governme nt's proposed minerals policy is based, i.e. that "the mining industries ha ve the capacity to generate wealth and employment on a large scale" (Republ ic of South Africa, Department of Minerals and Energy, 1998. A minerals and mining policy. White Paper, Department of Minerals and Energy, Republic of South Africa), may require further thought. Our estimated production and e mployment multipliers indicate that the impacts of marginal changes in mini ng production and employment were not significantly different from producti on and employment impacts of most other South African economic activities a nd that there were few linkages between mining and the rest of the economy. These results suggest that South African mining activities will increase i ncome and employment only if exports increase or if policies are establishe d to increase linkages between mining and the rest of the South African eco nomy. (C) 2000 Published by Elsevier Science Ltd.