P. Siegelman et J. Waldfogel, Toward a taxonomy of disputes: New evidence through the prism of the Priest/Klein model, J LEG STUD, 28(1), 1999, pp. 101-130
The Priest/Klein model predicts both trial rates and plaintiff win rates as
functions of three structural parameters: the decision standard, parties'
uncertainty in estimating case quality, and the degree of stake asymmetry a
cross parties. Previous tests of the model are unsatisfactory because most
have concentrated on its prediction of a 50 percent win rate, which only ob
tains as a limiting case. We gather independent evidence that describes the
model's three parameters and compare it with estimates from a structural m
odel that simultaneously estimates both trial and win rates. The model fits
the data for four of our six case types. A four-parameter model, in which
plaintiffs face greater uncertainty than defendants, can explain the two an
omalous case types.