The economic analysis of disarmament in the next millennium may be develope
d from three main perspectives:
At the end of the 20th century, the data seem to confirm, at least partiall
y, the reality of a world disarmament process.
There is an obsolescence of the disarmament analyses developed since the en
d of World War II, with arms race models and macroeconomics theories of dis
armament.
In the 21st century, the disarmament process will have to take new forms, a
nd integrate other aspects than those traditionally considered, notably the
economic crisis and the maintenance of economic wars.