J. Kornai et J. Mchale, Is post-communist health spending unusual? A comparison with established market economies, ECON TRANSI, 8(2), 2000, pp. 369-399
What factors determine a country's spending on health? And what factors det
ermine the share of spending financed by the public sector? Taking these fa
ctors into account, is post-communist health spending unusual? For the OECD
economies, we find that per capita health spending is strongly related to
per capita income, with an elasticity of about 1.5. The elasticity for deve
loping economies is close to one. Spending is also positively related to th
e elderly dependency rate, but the relationship is weaker than a static com
parison of spending by the elderly and non-elderly would suggest. Even thou
gh health spending as a share of GDP in the post-communist countries of eas
tern and central Europe is below the OECD average, there is evidence of abo
ve normal health spending in most countries when we control for income and
demographics. For Hungary, the 'excess' spending reached over three percent
age points of GDP in 1994. For the OECD sample, four development indicators
account for half the variation in the public sector share of total health
spending. Political variables help explain the remainder. If the post-commu
nist countries converge to the market economy pattern, the share of public
financing will fall, yet still remain well above half. JEL classification:
H51, I11, P30, P51.