The stability of a hot forging lubricant determines its effectiveness durin
g operation. Aqueous lubricants, which are increasingly popular because of
environmental issues, contain an organic ingredient, a stabilizer, and othe
r species including biocides and corrosion inhibitors. The stability of a m
odel forging lubricant containing dipotassium o-phthalate and sodium silica
te in water has been measured over a wide range of temperatures and initial
concentrations. The oxidation of the organic species is correlated using k
inetic analysis, which reveals that decomposition occurs through a first-or
der reaction with an activation energy of approximate to 58.2 kJ/mol. The k
inetic result is consistent with a proposed free radical reaction mechanism
that is also shown to be consistent with theoretical calculations and resu
lts reported for other types of lubricants.