Jv. Smith, Natural hazards: Geology, engineering, agriculture, and sociopolitical/humanitarian considerations for the twenty-first century, INT GEOL R, 42(7), 2000, pp. 617-656
Dangers from natural hazards have been characterized quantitatively by nati
onal and international committees of geoscientists based on technical advan
ces in geochemistry and geophysics (sensu lato). The current status of know
ledge on natural hazards is reviewed with particular emphasis on comet/aste
roid impact, earthquakes, and volcanoes. All these hazards are survivable b
y the world's population if appropriate measures are taken over the next ce
ntury and millennium. Ideas for mitigation include: general use of weathere
d volcanic ash and power-station fly ash to make pozzolana cement for stren
gthening buildings, and stabilizing weak ground and hillsides prone to slum
ping; long-term storage of grains under nitrogen, together with other techn
iques for maintaining viability of stored food; drilling of tunnels under m
ajor cities to facilitate traffic flow, and for protection against impact o
f bolides and bombs; design of sea and lake fronts to guard against tsunami
s from earthquakes and asteroid impact. The food-storage proposals could be
tailored to help farmers obtain a regular income while producing a higher
crop yield than needed for current food supply. The land modification plans
would provide technical challenges and new business activities for civil e
ngineers, lawyers, real-estate professionals, and city planners. It is trul
y tragic that genuine ideas for mitigation of natural hazards are being imp
lemented at a snail's pace while funding for weapons nourishes around much
of the world. The early development of my thinking on hazards is an example
of the typical disconnection between "scientific expertise" and actual day
-to-day planning decisions. As a farmer's boy interested in civil engineeri
ng and land planning in an ecological context, I summarize old and new idea
s in an effort to bridge this disconnection, and facilitate the planned tra
nsfer of funding from weapons to actions that enhance human well being. Bec
ause the actions are international in their basic nature and ecological in
character, I hope that they will help to generate a feeling of "One world t
hat must be loved, not abused." We belong to one biological species, Homo s
upposedly sapiens sapiens. We must progress beyond tribal, ethnic, and othe
r divisive matters associated with wars and civilian conflicts. The rich mu
st help the poor. Geology and civil engineering can provide important world
wide cooperative connections.