We. Holt et al., Velocity field in Asia inferred from Quaternary fault slip rates and Global Positioning System observations, J GEO R-SOL, 105(B8), 2000, pp. 19185-19209
We perform a joint inversion of Quaternary strain rates and 238 Global Posi
tioning Syst;em (GPS) velocities in Asia fur a self-consistent velocity fie
ld. The reference frames for all geodetic velocity observations are determi
ned in our inversion procedure, India (IN) moves relative to Eurasia (EU) a
bout a pole of rotation at (29.78 degrees N, 7.51 degrees E;, 0.353 degrees
Myr(-1)), which yields a velocity along the Himalaya within India that is
similar to 73-76% of the magnitude of the IN-EU NUVEL-1A velocity and a vec
tor azimuth that is 8-10 degrees clockwise of NUVEL-1A IN-EU vector azimuth
. Relative to Eurasia, south China moves at 9-11 mm/yr in the direction 110
-120 degrees with a pole position (64.84 degrees N, 156.74 degrees E, 0.12
degrees Myr(-1)). Amurian block motion has a pole position iri a similar lo
cation but at a slower rate (64.61 degrees N, 158.23 degrees E, 0.077 degre
es Myr(-1)) and most of the Amurian-Eurasia motion is accommodated by exten
sion across Lake Baikal. Tarim Basin moves relative to Eurasia about a pole
of rotation at (39.24 degrees N, 98.2 degrees E, -0.539 degrees Myr(-1)) a
nd similar to 16-18 mm/yr of shortening is accommodated across the west cen
tral Tien Shan. There is distributed E-W extension throughout both southern
and north central Tibet. Within southern Tibet, between the longitudes of
77 degrees E to 92 degrees E, the deformation field accommodates similar to
16-19 mm/yr of E-W extension. We compare predicted seismic moment rates wi
th those observed in this century iu Asia. Total observed seismic moment ra
tes wit,hin the entire area of central and east Asia (2.2 x 10(7) km(2)) in
this century are 2.26 +/- 0.7 x 10(20) N m yr(-1) as compared with a predi
cted total rate of 2.03 +/- 0.066 x 10(20) N m yr(-1). Comparisons between
observed and predicted moment rates within 42 subregions reflect the genera
lly unstable process of inferring long-term seismic moment rates from a cat
alog of limited duration (94 years), All observation period of similar to 1
0,000 years would be required to reduce uncertainties in observed. seismic:
moment rate tu the same sire as the uncertainties in model tectonic moment
, rates, inferred from the joint inversion of GPS and Quaternary rates of s
train. We show that in general, a better correlation with model tectonic: m
oment rate is inferred from the: seismicity catalog by considering the numb
ers of earthquakes above a cutoff magnitude (m(b) > 5.0: for the period Jan
uary 1, 1965, to January 1, 1999).