This study identified factors associated with the prevalence of idiopathic
scoliosis and curve evolution in schoolchildren from northwestern and centr
al Greece. A total of 85,627 children aged 9-15 years were screened for sco
liosis. A subset of children with curves of at least 10 degrees underwent c
linical and radiographic follow-up. The total population screened and the c
ohort followed for curve progression were evaluated according to factors as
sociated with curve evolution.
The prevalence of scoliosis was 1.7%, with most cases appearing at ages 13
and 14 years and small scoliotic curves (10 degrees-19 degrees) being most
prevalent (prevalence 1.5%). Prevalence was associated with gender; age; an
d magnitude, apex, and direction of the curve. Progression of the curve occ
urred in 14.7% of 839 children, while 27.4% demonstrated spontaneous improv
ement of at least 5 degrees. A high risk of curve progression was associate
d with the following: sex-girls, curve pattern-right thoracic and double cu
rves in girls and right lumbar in boys, maturity-girls before the onset of
menses, age-time of pubertal growth spurt, and curve magnitude-curves great
er than or equal to 30 degrees. Although only a small percentage of scoliot
ic curves undergo progression, the pattern of the curve according to curve
direction and the sex of the child plays a significant role in the ability
to identify which curves will progress.