E. Niewczas et al., The influence of the medical care on the human life expectancy in 20(th) century and the Penna ageing model, THEOR BIOSC, 119(2), 2000, pp. 122-131
The expression of many genetic defects may be suppressed by proper medical
care or even by changing the environmental conditions. We have used the Pen
na model of ageing to show that such effects may be responsible for increas
ing the human life expectancy during the 20(th) century. This effect is equ
ivalent to the shift of the threshold (T) in the Penna model, which determi
nes how many deleterious, expressed mutations kill an organism. For long ge
nomes, the shift of T changes the age distribution significantly with negli
gible relative changes in the maximum life span, while for short genomes, t
he shift of T changes both, the age distribution as well as the maximum age
. Unfortunately the same simulations show that the strategy of enhancing th
e medical care requires more and more effort to keep the mortality rate of
our populations at the same lower level and that some new defects could be
exposed to selection.