OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to develop a comprehensive risk-assess
ment approach capable of evaluating maternal and fetal outcomes.
STUDY DESIGN: Data from 10,984 women and 11,066 infants delivered at 79 mil
itary treatment facilities in the United States from 1995 to 1997 were used
to develop two individual but complementary risk-adjustment models for mat
ernal and, separately, fetal outcomes. A range of maternal and delivery-rel
ated risk variables and clinically important outcomes were identified by ex
pert opinion and selected and weighted with ordinal logistic regression ana
lysis. Receiver operating characteristic curves for the maternal and fetal
models were determined. Variation across the facilities in risk-adjusted pe
rformance was also evaluated.
RESULTS: Risk factors and poor outcomes were rare for both mothers and infa
nts, with 96.9% of infants and 97.7% of mothers having good or excellent ou
tcomes (0.7% mortality and 0.01% mortality, respectively). Despite the low
frequency of poor outcomes both models performed well, with receiver operat
ing characteristic curves of 0.75 for maternal outcomes and 0.78 for infant
outcomes. When the models were applied to the military treatment facilitie
s, there were significant differences among facilities in risk-adjusted out
comes. Twenty-four of the facilities in the study (30%) had outcomes odds r
atios that were significantly >1 or significantly <1 (P < .05). There did n
ot appear to be any relationship between the performance of a military trea
tment facility for maternal outcome and that for infant outcome.
CONCLUSION: Complementary risk models for maternal and infant outcomes were
developed that had satisfactory discriminatory power across a variety of f
acilities within a large health system. With further development and refine
ment this approach holds promise of being able to detect Variations in risk
-adjusted performance that could be used to identify best practices. The re
sults might also be used to help coordinate and improve the quality of care
for the entire conception-to-delivery process.