The authors conducted a longitudinal study of poor pregnant women and
their infants to examine the determinants of maternal and infant lead
levels. To accurately depict these determinants, one must account for
secular and seasonal variations in these levels. The women's lead leve
ls declined over the 5-y period of study by approximately 20%/y, depen
ding on when in the course of pregnancy measurements were made. After
correction for secular trend, we found a periodic effect that differed
from that typically seen in children (i.e., peak occurs in summer). I
n this study, lead levels in these women peaked during December-March.
If the effects of lead are greatest in the youngest conceptus, early
pregnancies that occur in the December-March period pose the largest p
renatal risk.