Ra. Norman et al., EPIFIL: The development of an age-structured model for describing the transmission dynamics and control of lymphatic filariasis, EPIDEM INFE, 124(3), 2000, pp. 529-541
Mathematical models of transmission dynamics of infectious diseases provide
a useful tool for investigating the impact of community based control meas
ures. Previously, we used a dynamic (constant force-of-infection) model for
lymphatic filariasis to describe observed patterns of infection and diseas
e in endemic communities. In this paper, we expand the model to examine the
effects of control options against filariasis by incorporating the impact
of age structure of the human community and by addressing explicitly the dy
namics of parasite transmission from and to the vector population. This mod
el is tested using data for Wuchereria bancrofti transmitted by Culex quinq
uefasciatus in Pondicherry, South India. The results show that chemotherapy
has a larger short-term impact than vector control but that the effects of
vector control can last beyond the treatment period. In addition we compar
e rates of recrudescence for drugs with different macrofilaricidal effects.