Objectives: the 1998 ECST final report suggests that the decision to operat
ive on patients with greater than 70% symptomatic stenosis should be based
on a statistical model incorporating age, ses and degree of stenosis. The a
im of this stud was to identify patients operated on the basis of the 1991
reports who would not now be offered surgery according to the 1998 ECST rec
ommendation sand to determine the surgical morbidity and mortality arising
from these "inappropriate" CEAs.
Methods: interrogation of a prospectively gathered database of al CEAs perf
ormed for symptomatic stenosis between 1st January 1994 and 1st May 1998. C
EAs were classified as "beneficial", "uncertain" or "hazardous" according t
o the 1998 ECST recommendations.
Results: there were 154 males and 72 females (median age (range) was 67 (39
-85) and 65 (38-81), respectively). In males 101 (66%) of CEAs were "benefi
cial", 51 (33%) were "uncertain" and only two (1%) were "hazardous". In wom
en, the corresponding proportions were 13 (18%), 45 (63%) and 14 (19%), res
pectively. The combined peri-operative major stroke (Rankin 3-5) and death
rate was 1.8% (4 patients). Of these, three, one and zero patients were in
the "beneficial", "uncertain" and "hazardous" groups.
Conclusions: strict adherence to the 1998 ECST recommendations would reduce
by 50% the number of CEAs currently performed in this vascular unit and, i
n general, would restrict CEA to a higher risk group. The validity of the E
CST model requires further evaluation.