Any approach to qualification of advanced technologies during product devel
opment must include an assessment of variation expected in product life ove
r the life cycle. However, testing product design options in development, t
o approach an optimal design is costly and time consuming. Hence, simulatio
n of product life distributions for virtual qualification can be a valuable
tool to evaluate and qualify design options. This paper presents a physics
of failure-based approach to virtual qualification of advanced area array
assemblies against solder fatigue failure. The approach applies Monte Carlo
simulation to evaluate solder joint fatigue life distributions, given mate
rial property Variations and manufacturing capabilities, Preliminary result
s using the simple Engelmaier model as the basis of simulations are present
ed. Simulation results are compared to data accumulated from two test envir
onments and two ball grid array product types. The results reveal some of t
he limitations of the Engelmaier model as a basis for simulation. They also
show the potential of this approach to virtual qualification for design an
d manufacturing capability assessment in development. (C) 2000 Elsevier Sci
ence Ltd. All rights reserved.