L. Erlenmeyer-kimling et al., Attention, memory, and motor skills as childhood predictors of schizophrenia-related psychoses: The New York high-risk project, AM J PSYCHI, 157(9), 2000, pp. 1416-1422
Objective: Childhood neurobehavioral deficits in offspring of schizophrenic
, affectively ill, and psychiatrically normal parents were evaluated as pre
dictors of schizophrenia-related psychoses in adulthood.
Method: The offspring were tested with neurobehavioral measures at 7-12 yea
rs of age and assessed in mid-adulthood for axis I diagnoses. The relations
hips of childhood deficits in attention, verbal memory and gross motor skil
ls to adulthood schizophrenia-related psychoses were examined in separate p
ath analyses by using logistic regression equations. Sensitivity and specif
icity were determined for each of the childhood dysfunctions.
Results: For the offspring of schizophrenic parents, childhood deficits in
verbal memory, gross motor skills, and attention identified 83%, 75%, and 5
8%, respectively, of the subjects with schizophrenia-related psychoses; 50%
were identified by all three variables combined. False positive rates in s
ubjects who did not develop schizophrenia-related psychoses ranged from 18%
for those with deficits in attention during childhood to 28% for those wit
h deficits in memory The three variables had low deficit rates in the offsp
ring of the other two parental groups and were not associated with other ps
ychiatric disorders in any group.
Conclusions: Schinophrenia-related psychoses in adulthood are distinguished
in subjects at risk for schizophrenia by childhood deficits in verbal memo
ry, gross motor skills, and attention. The findings suggest that deficits i
n these variables are relatively specific to schizophrenia risk and may be
indicators of the genetic liability to schizophrenia.