Consider the problem of predicting loss ratios for traffic streams sha
ring a buffer. Approximations based on the temporal statistical proper
ties of single sources do not account for the economies of scale which
can arise when there is statistical multiplexing gain across sources.
These can occur whether the sources have long or short range dependen
ce; in either case the economies may be positive or negative. In this
paper we investigate this matter for sources described by fractional A
RIMA processes, and show that their short-range structure can mean tha
t a simple power-law tail based on the Hurst parameter alone can be ov
er-optimistic when the buffer space allocated per source is not large.