Spirometry prediction equations obtained from middle-age adults, when extra
polated for the elderly, may lead to inaccurate interpretations. The purpos
e of this study was to determine prediction equations for forced vital capa
city (FVC) and forced expiratory volume (FEV1) in the Greek elderly populat
ion. Spirometry prediction equations for normal FVC and FEV1 have been deri
ved from tests on 71 healthy persons (38 men, 33 women) aged older than 60
years (range, 65-85 years), nonsmokers, white race, urban population using
techniques and equipment that meet American Thoracic Society recommendation
s. Regression analysis using age, height, and weight as independent variabl
es was used to provide prediction equations and values for both sexes. The
FVC age coefficient in this healthy group was about 47.19 mL/y for elderly
men and 34.27 mL/y for elderly women, and the FEV1 age coefficient was abou
t 52.8 mL/y for elderly men and 46.4 mL/y for elderly women. Values from th
is study predicted equations were compared with those from some of the most
commonly used sources of spirometry predicted equations. The FVC and FEV1
predicted values were found to be of less mean square error than that of ot
her compared studies. Higher correlation is between FVC and FEV1 predicted
values by the present model and FVC and FEV1 observed Values in both sexes.
The higher correlation between FVC and FEV1 predicted and observed from th
is study allows the use of our model for predicting in a rather reliable wa
y the FVC and FEV1 for elderly Creek individuals.