With detections of the Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (SZ) effect induced by galaxy clu
sters becoming routine, it is crucial to establish accurate theoretical pre
dictions. We use a hydrodynamical N-body code to generate simulated maps, o
f size 1 deg(2), of the thermal SZ effect. This is done for three different
cosmologies: the currently favoured low-density model with a cosmological
constant, a critical-density model and a low-density open model. We stack s
imulation boxes corresponding to different redshifts in order to include co
ntributions to the Compton y-parameter out to the highest necessary redshif
ts. Our main results are as follows.
(i) The mean y-distortion is around 4x10(-6) for low-density cosmologies, a
nd 1x10(-6) for critical density. These are below current limits, but not b
y a wide margin in the former case.
(ii) In low-density cosmologies, the mean y-distortion is contributed acros
s a broad range of redshifts, with the bulk coming from z less than or simi
lar to 2 and a tail out to z similar to 5. For critical-density models, mos
t of the contribution comes from z < 1.
(iii) The number of SZ sources above a given y depends strongly on instrume
nt resolution. For a 1-arcmin beam, there are around 0.1 sources per deg(2)
with y > 10(-5) in a critical-density Universe, and around 8 such sources
per deg(2) in low-density models. Low-density models with and without a cos
mological constant give very similar results.
(iv) We estimate that the Planck satellite will be able to see of order 25
000 SZ sources if the Universe has a low density, or around 10 000 if it ha
s critical density.