A. Grotzner et al., Atmospheric response to sea surface temperature anomalies during El Nino 1997/98 as simulated by ECHAM4, Q J R METEO, 126(567), 2000, pp. 2175-2198
Citations number
42
Categorie Soggetti
Earth Sciences
Journal title
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
One of the strongest El-Nino events on record was observed in 1997/98, a ti
me period characterized by many strong climate anomalies all over the globe
. To study the origin of these climate anomalies, ensemble experiments have
been performed with the ECHAM4 atmospheric general circulation model at T4
2 resolution forced by observed sea surface temperatures (SSTs). Many of th
e observed climate anomalies and the well known El Nino Southern Oscillatio
n teleconnection patterns could be reproduced by the ensemble integrations.
In particular, the model reproduces the observed weakening of the trade wi
nds, although it fails to simulate the early decline of the Southern Oscill
ation Index in November 1997. The observed climate anomalies over the Pacif
ic, the Americas, and the Atlantic were successfully simulated. The model a
lso reproduces the observed splitting of the jet over the North Atlantic wh
ich caused a very mild winter in western Europe. Our results do not indicat
e that the intense 1997 summer rainfalls leading to severe flooding in east
ern central Europe were related to El Nino. With respect to the Indian Ocea
n, India, Australia, and southern Africa, the results were less satisfying.
For example, the model yields reduced Indian monsoon rainfall which has no
t been observed. Additional experiments with SST anomalies restricted to pa
rticular ocean basins reveal that most of the atmospheric climate anomalies
in 1997/98 were related to SST anomalies in the tropical Pacific. In parti
cular, Atlantic SST anomalies had only a marginal impact on the atmosphere.