Objective To identify and test the predictive power of demographic, obstetr
ic, and psychosocial risk factors of postpartum depression.
Design Community-based, prospective follow up study based on questionnaires
on past history of psychiatric disease, psychological distress and social
support during pregnancy and depression at four months after delivery. Obst
etric files were collected at time of birth.
Setting Antenatal care clinic and delivery ward, Aarhus University Hospital
, Denmark.
Population 6790 women giving birth between 1 January 1994 and 31 December 1
995, who attended the antenatal clinic during pregnancy; 5252 (78%) complet
ed all questionnaires. The validation population comprised 528 women enroll
ed immediately prior to and after the study period.
Main outcome measure Postpartum depression four months after giving birth a
ssessed by the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale.
Results 5.5% of the women suffered from postpartum depression, correspondin
g to a score of 13 or higher on the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale. R
isk factors identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis include
d psychological distress in late pregnancy (OR 6.3 [95% CT 4.4-9.1]), perce
ived social isolation during pregnancy (OR 3.6 [95% CI 1.9-7.0]); high pari
ty (OR 3.8 [95% CI 1.8-8.0]); and a positive history of prepregnant psychia
tric disease (OR 2.1 [95% CI 1.4-3.2]). No association was found between pr
egnancy or delivery complications, and postpartum depression. The maximum p
redictive power of the identified risk factors was 0.3. According to these
results, one out of three women who suffers from psychological distress in
late pregnancy with perceived social isolation will develop postpartum depr
ession.
Conclusion Antenatal focus on psychosocial wellbeing may help to identify w
omen at risk of postpartum depression.