Defective-interfering (DI) viruses arise spontaneously by deletion mutation
s. The shortened genomes of the DI particles cannot replicate unless they c
oinfect a cell with a wild-type virus. Upon coinfection, the DI genome repl
icates more quickly and outcompetes the wild type. The coinfected cell prod
uces mostly DI viruses. At the population level, the abundances of DI and w
ild-type viruses fluctuate dramatically under some conditions. In other cas
es, the DI viruses appear to mediate persistent infections with relatively
low levels of host cell death. This moderation of viral damage has led some
to suggest DI particles as therapeutic agents. Previous mathematical model
s have shown that either fluctuation or persistence can occur for plausible
parameter values. I develop new mathematical models for the population dyn
amics of DI and wild-type viruses. My work extends the theory by developing
specific predictions that can be tested in the laboratory. These predictio
ns, if borne out by experiment, will explain the key processes that control
the diversity of observed outcomes. The most interesting prediction concer
ns the rate at which killed host cells are replaced. A low rate of replacem
ent causes powerful epidemics followed by a crash in viral abundance. As th
e rate of replacement increases, the frequency of oscillations increases in
DI and wild-type viral abundances, but the severity (amplitude) of the flu
ctuations declines. At higher replacement rates for host cells, nearly all
cells become infected by DI particles and a low level of fluctuating, wild-
type viremia persists. (C) 2000 Academic Press.