Publication bias is defined as any tendency on the part of investigators or
editors to fail to publish study results on the basis of the direction or
strength of the findings. This may lead to overestimation of treatment effe
cts in published work. Inappropriate decisions about patient management may
result. We investigated what proportion of abstracts at the European Socie
ty of Human Reproduction and Embryology (ESHRE) annual meeting eventually r
eached full publication, what was the time to publication, and which factor
s might have affected publication. Among the 2691 abstracts of six ESHRE an
nual meetings, 151 (5.6%) reporting randomized controlled trials (RCT) were
identified. Comprehensive searches of electronic databases and handsearchi
ng of the two major journals in the field yielded 79 full publications pert
aining to these abstracts. Kaplan-Meier analysis estimated 56% of RCT abstr
acts to be eventually published in full, the median time to publication bei
ng 32.5 months. Positive outcome (i,e, significant results) did not affect
the publication rate, and neither did sample size, the subject category, or
the native language (English/non-English) of the country of origin. Oral p
resentations resulted in eventual full publication significantly more frequ
ently (69%) than posters (42%), It is concluded that a considerable publica
tion deficit, but not a publication bias, exists for RCT in reproductive re
search.