The thermal emission from Loki, Ulgen, and Amaterasu Paterae can be mo
deled remarkably accurately with a simple two-parameter model based on
analytical expressions for the cooling of a silicate lava flow. In th
is model the Row is assumed to produce new surface at a constant rate
and then the surface cools purely by radiation. The highly nonlinear (
T-4) dependence of radiative flux on temperature paradoxically produce
s simple approximations for the temperature of the surface vs time and
also for the distribution function which gives the fraction of the su
rface at any given temperature. This work is based upon a modification
of the Stefan model which describes the solidification of lava flows.
The first of the two parameters which describe the system, R-A', is t
he product of a flow rate R-A (given in m(2) sec(-1)) and a term set b
y material properties and related to thermal inertia. The second param
eter t(0)' is the product of a time scale t(0) and another term set by
material properties. The time t(0) can be interpreted either as the t
ime the flow has been active or the time it takes for old surface to b
e covered by new flow. The analytical model predicts a spectrum with F
-A proportional to lambda(3) in the near infrared, with an exponential
cutoff at short enough wavelengths and a slower turnover at long wave
lengths. Slightly more elaborate versions of the model predict the way
in which the spectrum should change when the flow rate varies with ti
me. Measurements of such variations will provide a critical test of th
e model. (C) 1997 Academic Press.