The vancomycin pharmacokinetic profile was characterized in six pediatric p
atients and the potential of nonlinear mixed effects modeling and Bayesian
forecasting for vancomycin monitoring was explored using NONMEM V (1.1). Ba
sed on steady state serial vancomycin concentrations, the estimates of mean
t(1/2), Vd, and CI derived by the Sawchuk and Zaske method(1) were 3.52 ho
urs, 0.57 L/kg, and 0.12 Uh per kg, respectively. NONMEM analysis demonstra
ted that a weight-adjusted two-compartment model described individual patie
nts' data better than a comparable one-compartment model. The two-compartme
nt estimates of mean t(1/2)alpha, t(1/2)beta, V-ss, and Cl were 0.80 hour,
5.63 hours, 0.63 L/kg, and 0.11 L/h per kg, respectively. The relatively lo
ng mean t(1/2)alpha suggests that peak vancomycin concentrations measured e
arlier than 4 hours postdose do not reflect postdistributional serum concen
trations. NONMEM population modeling revealed that a weight-adjusted two-co
mpartment model provided a better fit than a comparable one-compartment mod
el. The resulting population parameters and variances were fixed in NONMEM
to obtain Bayesian predictions of individual vancomycin serum concentration
s. Bayesian estimation with either a single midinterval or trough sample ha
s the potential to provide accurate and precise predictions of vancomycin c
oncentrations. This should be evaluated using a vancomycin population pharm
acokinetic model based on a larger sample of pediatric patients.