Ee. Aguilar et Ac. Pacek, Macroeconomic conditions, voter turnout and the working-class/economicallydisadvantaged party vote in developing countries, COMP POLI S, 33(8), 2000, pp. 995-1017
Working and lower status citizens are more sensitive to macroeconomic fluct
uations than their better-off counterparts in the developing world, due to
the higher personal stakes involved. This heightened sensitivity affects fl
uctuations in voter turnout and voter choice across developing democracies.
Macroeconomic downturns result in increased voter participation as more lo
wer status voters express their grievances at the polls. This benefits poli
tical parties and coalitions with expressly working- and lower-class appeal
s. This article describes the impact of shifts in voter turnout on party su
pport, the impact of macroeconomic shifts on voter turnout, and the impact
of macroeconomic shifts on support for parties that are working-class/econo
mically disadvantaged oriented using regression analysis of aggregate poole
d time-series data from 10 countries in Latin America, the Caribbean, Afric
a, and Asia. Although increased turnout primarily helps parties that are wo
rking-class/economically disadvantaged oriented, as is the case in the indu
strial world, the economic effect on party support is substantially greater
.