Circadian variations in blood pressure (BP), stroke volume (SV), heart rate
(HR), cardiac output (CO) and total peripheral resistance (TPR) were deter
mined by a pulse contour method from the intra-arterial pulse wave in 32 no
rmotensive (NT), 32 borderline hypertensive (BHT) and 31 hypertensive (HT)
middle-aged men. Daytime averages were used as the reference levels. The no
cturnal decrease in BP and HR were similar in the three groups. In the nigh
t, SV did not change in the NT group, but was increased in the BHT and HT g
roups. The nocturnal increase in SV may reflect reduced venous capacity cau
sing increased cardiac filling. As a consequence of the difference in SV, t
he nocturnal CO fall was diminished in the HT group as compared with the NT
group. Moreover, TPR had a tendency to decrease in the HT group, which may
be considered as a baroreflex response to buffer the expected rise in BP.
Five years later, 25 NT, 24 BHT and 19 HT subjects were reassessed using ca
sual BP measurements. In the NT and BHT groups, six and 17 subjects, respec
tively, had progressed to hypertension. In a logistic regression model for
those who became HT, the nocturnal increase in SV was a significant predict
or for future hypertension. In conclusion, the results suggest that circadi
an systemic haemodynamics may be altered before BP is markedly elevated, an
d that haemodynamic studies might be useful in predicting the development o
f sustained hypertension.