Modeling storm waves

A probability model is developed for time series of wave heights in the ran ge of their synoptic-scale variability with its annual rhythmicity taken in to account. For the identification and verification of this model, long-ter m series of waves in the Baltic, Barents, Black, and Mediterranean seas are used. These series are obtained by numerically integrating the equations o f wave-energy balance over a specified sequence of the surface-wind velocit y fields calculated from the atmospheric-pressure fields in synoptic hours.