Objectives: This study addresses the following question: What characteristi
cs of urban, noninstitutionalized elders predict which individuals are most
likely to remain independent of personal assistance during a 2-year observ
ation period? Methods: A population-based sample of 602 noninstitutionalize
d urban residents aged 70 and older was followed for 2 years. Results: Nine
ty-eight of the 487 survivors remained independent. Factors associated with
sustained independence were relatively younger age, male gender, fewer med
ical conditions, good physical function, and nonsmoking. The attitudes "fav
ors family or self over agency assistance" and "does not expect filial obli
gation" were also independently associated. Discussion: The results are con
sistent with previous studies of successful aging and show that attitudes e
xpressed at baseline favoring personal independence are associated with sus
tained autonomy during a period of at least 2 years.