S. Tienungoon et al., Growth limits of Listeria monocytogenes as a function of temperature, pH, NaCl, and lactic acid, APPL ENVIR, 66(11), 2000, pp. 4979
Models describing the limits of growth of pathogens under multiple constrai
nts will aid management of the safety of foods which are sporadically conta
minated with pathogens and for which subsequent growth of the pathogen woul
d significantly increase the risk of food-borne illness. We modeled the eff
ects of temperature, water activity, pH, and lactic acid levels on the grow
th of two strains of Listeria monocytogenes in tryptone soya yeast extract
broth. The results could be divided unambiguously into "growth is possible"
or "growth is not possible" classes. We observed minor differences in grow
th characteristics of the two L. monocytogenes strains. The data follow a b
inomial probability distribution and may be modeled using logistic regressi
on. The model used is derived from a growth rate model in a manner similar
to that described in a previously published work (K. A. Presser, T. Ross, a
nd D. A. Ratkowsky, Appl. Environ, Microbiol, 64:1773-1779, 1998). We used
"nonlinear logistic regression" to estimate the model parameters and develo
ped a relatively simple model that describes our experimental data well. Th
e fitted equations also described well the growth limits of all strains of
L. monocytogenes reported in the literature, except at temperatures beyond
the limits of the experimental data used to develop the model (3 to 35 degr
eesC). The models developed will improve the rigor of microbial food safety
risk assessment and provide quantitative data in a concise form for the de
velopment of safer food products and processes.