Background: The results of randomized trials show that breast cancer screen
ing by mammography reduces breast cancer mortality by up to 40% in women ag
ed 50-69 years. Because of these results, by 1998, 22 countries, including
Canada, had established population-based organized screening programs. This
paper presents the results of screening mammography in 1996 for 7 provinci
ally organized breast cancer screening programs in Canada.
Methods: Analyses of interim performance indicators for screening mammograp
hy have been calculated from data submitted to the Canadian Breast Cancer S
creening database. The data set consisted of data from 7 provincial program
s and was limited to mammographic screens for women aged 50-69 years (n = 2
03 303). Screening outcomes and performance indicators were calculated for
abnormalities detected by screening mammography only.
Results: The abnormal recall rate was 9.5% for first screens and 4.6% for s
ubsequent screens, and the cancer detection rate per 1000 women screened wa
s 6.9 for first screens and 3.8 for subsequent screens. The positive predic
tive value (i.e., the proportion of women who tested positive by mammograph
y who were found to have breast cancer on screen-initiated diagnostic work-
up) increased from 7.2% at the first screen to 8.2% at subsequent screens.
Estimated participation rates within organized programs varied from 10.6% t
o 54.2%, depending on the province.
Interpretation: For 1996, organized breast cancer screening programs met or
exceeded many of the interim measures used in international programs. It i
s possible to translate the benefits of breast cancer screening by mammogra
phy, as demonstrated in randomized trials, into population-based community
programs. Screening mammography through organized programs should increase
to allow more comprehensive monitoring in Canada.