Epidemiological studies have shown that 3-7% of the paediatric population s
uffer from migraine. Despite this high prevalence Little has been published
about the natural history of migraine or of its prognosis. The objectives
of this study were: (i) to outline the natural history of migraine in child
hood; and (ii) to identify early predictors of an unfavourable clinical evo
lution. A prospective, longitudinal, 10-year follow-up study was conducted
of the clinical evolution of 181 paediatric patients with migraine. Data an
alysis was performed by statistical significance and logistic regression te
sts. In our study 24.3% of children with migraine had their onset before ag
e 6 years and another 57% between 6 and 10 years of age. A positive family
history of migraine was recorded in 77.5%. Eighty-eight percent of patients
followed a favourable clinical course. The remaining 12% of patients had t
o be placed on prophylactic treatment owing to the increasing of their head
ache. Of all parameters investigated, the age of onset was the only statist
ically significant predictor of an unfavourable clinical evolution. We conc
lude: (i) most patients with migraine headache starting in childhood do not
require prophylactic treatment; (ii) the earlier the disease begins the mo
re likely is an unfavourable clinical course; (iii) genetic factors play an
important role in the phenotypic expression of the disease; (iv) our study
suggests the existence, at least, of two different populations among child
hood migraine patients.