I. Mulder et al., Role of smoking and diet in the cross-cultural variation in lung-cancer mortality: The Seven Countries Study, INT J CANC, 88(4), 2000, pp. 665-671
We examined the role of smoking and diet in the cross-cultural variation in
lung-cancer mortality, using aggregated data of the Seven Countries Study,
a follow-up study comprising 12,763 middle aged men in 16 cohorts in Europ
e, the United States and Japan, which started around 1960. Smoking habits w
ere assessed with a standardised questionnaire. Dietary intake was collecte
d in random sub-samples of each cohort by the dietary record method. Cohort
-specific 25-year lung-cancer mortality among all men and among categories
of smoking behaviour was related to smoking prevalence and population avera
ge dietary intake, respectively, using Poisson regression. Smoking prevalen
ce was positively associated with lung-cancer mortality [risk ratio 1.47, 9
5% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-2.07, for an increase of In percentage poi
nts]. Lung-cancer mortality among smokers, which varied significantly among
cultures, was positively associated with average fat intake, especially sa
turated fat intake (rate ratio 1.10, 95% CI 1.04-1.17, for an increase of 4
.6 g) but not with unsaturated fat intake. Average fruit and vegetable inta
ke were not related to lung-cancer mortality. Among never-smokers, the powe
r to detect associations was low. In conclusion, both smoking prevalence an
d average fat intake, especially saturated fat, may play a role in the cros
s-cultural variation in lung-cancer mortality, either independently or by e
ffect modification. (C) 2000 Wiley-Liss, Inc.